Fundamentals of Statistical Hydrology

This textbook covers the main applications of statistical methods in hydrology. It is written for upper undergraduate and graduate students but can be used as a helpful guide for hydrologists, geographers, meteorologists and engineers. The book is very useful for teaching, as it covers the main topics of the subject and contains many worked out examples and proposed exercises. Starting from simple notions of the essential graphical examination of hydrological data, the book gives a complete account of the role that probability considerations must play during modelling, diagnosis of model fit, prediction and evaluating the uncertainty in model predictions, including the essence of Bayesian application in hydrology and statistical methods under nonstationarity.The book also offers a comprehensive and useful discussion on subjective topics, such as the selection of probability distributions suitable for hydrological variables. On a practical level, it explains MS Excel charting and computing capabilities, demonstrates the use of Winbugs free software to solve Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) simulations, and gives examples of free R code to solve nonstationary models with nonlinear link functions with climate covariates.

Prof. Dr. Mauro da Cunha Naghettini: Civil Engineer, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil, 1977. MSc in Applied Hydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, 1979. PhD in Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, USA, 1994. From 1979 to 1989: Engineering Hydrologist at CEMIG, the Minas Gerais State power company. From 1989 to 2014: Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the Brazilian Federal University of Minas Gerais with teaching, research and management responsibilities. Retired in 2014.