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Bayesian Survival Analysis
Survival analysis arises in many fields of study including medicine, biology, engineering, public health, epidemiology, and economics. This book provides a comprehensive treatment of Bayesian survival analysis. It presents a balance between theory and applications, and for each class of models discussed, detailed examples and analyses from case studies are presented whenever possible. The applications are all from the health sciences, including cancer, AIDS, and the environment.
R 5,468.18
Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis
Its main objective is to examine the application and relevance of Bayes' theorem to problems that arise in scientific investigation in which inferences must be made regarding parameter values about which little is known a priori. Begins with a discussion of some important general aspects of the Bayesian approach such as the choice of prior distribution, particularly noninformative prior distribution, the problem of nuisance parameters and the role of sufficient statistics, followed by many standard problems concerned with the comparison of location and scale parameters. The main thrust is an investigation of questions with appropriate analysis of mathematical results which are illustrated with numerical examples, providing evidence of the value of the Bayesian approach.
R 6,772.00
Statistical Analysis with Missing Data
An up-to-date, comprehensive treatment of a classic text on missing data in statisticsThe topic of missing data has gained considerable attention in recent decades. This new edition by two acknowledged experts on the subject offers an up-to-date account of practical methodology for handling missing data problems. Blending theory and application, authors Roderick Little and Donald Rubin review historical approaches to the subject and describe simple methods for multivariate analysis with missing values. They then provide a coherent theory for analysis of problems based on likelihoods derived from statistical models for the data and the missing data mechanism, and then they apply the theory to a wide range of important missing data problems.Statistical Analysis with Missing Data, Third Edition starts by introducing readers to the subject and approaches toward solving it. It looks at the patterns and mechanisms that create the missing data, as well as a taxonomy of missing data. It then goes on to examine missing data in experiments, before discussing complete-case and available-case analysis, including weighting methods. The new edition expands its coverage to include recent work on topics such as nonresponse in sample surveys, causal inference, diagnostic methods, and sensitivity analysis, among a host of other topics. An updated “classic” written by renowned authorities on the subjectFeatures over 150 exercises (including many new ones)Covers recent work on important methods like multiple imputation, robust alternatives to weighting, and Bayesian methodsRevises previous topics based on past student feedback and class experienceContains an updated and expanded bibliography The authors were awarded The Karl Pearson Prize in 2017 by the International Statistical Institute, for a research contribution that has had profound influence on statistical theory, methodology or applications. Their work "has been no less than defining and transforming." (ISI)Statistical Analysis with Missing Data, Third Edition is an ideal textbook for upper undergraduate and/or beginning graduate level students of the subject. It is also an excellent source of information for applied statisticians and practitioners in government and industry.
R 3,059.00
Bayesian Statistics
Bayesian Statistics: The Basics provides a comprehensive yet accessible introduction to Bayesian statistics, specifically tailored for any researcher with an interest in statistical methods. It covers the theoretical foundations of Bayesian inference, contrasting it with classical statistical methods like null hypothesis significance testing. The book emphasizes key concepts such as prior and posterior distributions, Bayes’ theorem, and the Bayes factor, making them understandable even for readers with minimal mathematical backgrounds.Methodologically, the book offers practical, step-by-step guides on how to conduct Bayesian analyses using the free software package JASP. Each chapter focuses on applying Bayesian methods to common research designs with real-world data. Readers will benefit from the clear examples, visualizations, and JASP screenshots that ensure the learning experience is interactive and easy to follow.Full of practical content, the book emphasizes the advantages of Bayesian model comparison over traditional approaches, especially in quantifying evidence for competing hypotheses. Readers will also learn how to perform sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of different prior assumptions on their results.By the end of the book, readers will get both the theoretical understanding and practical skills to implement Bayesian methods in their own research, making it an invaluable resource for both novice and experienced researchers studying Bayesian statistics.
R 1,278.53
Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks
Since the first edition of this book published, Bayesian networks have become even more important for applications in a vast array of fields. This second edition includes new material on influence diagrams, learning from data, value of information, cybersecurity, debunking bad statistics, and much more. Focusing on practical real-world problem-solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, it explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide more powerful insights and better decision making than is possible from purely data-driven solutions.FeaturesProvides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network modelsSupplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, forensics, cybersecurity and moreIntroduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as neededEstablishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using Bayesian network models, before going into the detailed applicationsA dedicated website contains exercises and worked solutions for all chapters along with numerous other resources. The AgenaRisk software contains a model library with executable versions of all of the models in the book. Lecture slides are freely available to accredited academic teachers adopting the book on their course.
R 2,128.52
Bayesian Analysis for Population Ecology
Novel Statistical Tools for Conserving and Managing PopulationsBy gathering information on key demographic parameters, scientists can often predict how populations will develop in the future and relate these parameters to external influences, such as global warming. Because of their ability to easily incorporate random effects, fit state-space models, evaluate posterior model probabilities, and deal with missing data, modern Bayesian methods have become important in this area of statistical inference and forecasting. Emphasising model choice and model averaging, Bayesian Analysis for Population Ecology presents up-to-date methods for analysing complex ecological data. Leaders in the statistical ecology field, the authors apply the theory to a wide range of actual case studies and illustrate the methods using WinBUGS and R. The computer programs and full details of the data sets are available on the book’s website.The first part of the book focuses on models and their corresponding likelihood functions. The authors examine classical methods of inference for estimating model parameters, including maximum-likelihood estimates of parameters using numerical optimisation algorithms. After building this foundation, the authors develop the Bayesian approach for fitting models to data. They also compare Bayesian and traditional approaches to model fitting and inference.Exploring challenging problems in population ecology, this book shows how to use the latest Bayesian methods to analyse data. It enables readers to apply the methods to their own problems with confidence.
R 9,345.09
Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis
A valuable new edition of a standard reference The use of statistical methods for categorical data has increased dramatically, particularly for applications in the biomedical and social sciences. An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis, Third Edition summarizes these methods and shows readers how to use them using software. Readers will find a unified generalized linear models approach that connects logistic regression and loglinear models for discrete data with normal regression for continuous data. Adding to the value in the new edition is: • Illustrations of the use of R software to perform all the analyses in the book • A new chapter on alternative methods for categorical data, including smoothing and regularization methods (such as the lasso), classification methods such as linear discriminant analysis and classification trees, and cluster analysis • New sections in many chapters introducing the Bayesian approach for the methods of that chapter • More than 70 analyses of data sets to illustrate application of the methods, and about 200 exercises, many containing other data sets • An appendix showing how to use SAS, Stata, and SPSS, and an appendix with short solutions to most odd-numbered exercises Written in an applied, nontechnical style, this book illustrates the methods using a wide variety of real data, including medical clinical trials, environmental questions, drug use by teenagers, horseshoe crab mating, basketball shooting, correlates of happiness, and much more. An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis, Third Edition is an invaluable tool for statisticians and biostatisticians as well as methodologists in the social and behavioral sciences, medicine and public health, marketing, education, and the biological and agricultural sciences.
R 4,677.00
Data Analysis in Astronomy III
In the book are reported the main results presented at the Third International Workshop on Data Analysis in Astronomy, held at the EUore Majorana Center for Scientific Culture, Erice, Sicily, Italy, on June 20-27,1988. The Workshop was the natural evolution of the two previous ones. The main goal of the first edition (Erice 1984) was to start a scientific interaction between Astronomers and Computer Scientists. Aim of the second (Erice 1986) was to look at the progress in data analysis methods and dedicated hardware technology. Data analysis problems become harder whenever the data are poor in statistics or the signal is weak and embedded in structured background. Experiments collecting data of such a nature require new and non-standard methodologies. Possibilistic approaches could be merged with the statistical ones, in order to formalize all the knowledge used by the scientists to reach conclusions. Moreover, the last decade has been characterized by very fast developments of Intelligent Systems for data analysis (knowledge based systems, ... ) that would be useful to support astronomers in complex decision making. For these reasons, the last edition of the workshop was intended to provide an overview on the state of the art in the data analysis methodologies and tools in the new frontieres of the astrophysics (y-astronomy, neutrino astronomy, gravitational waves, background radiation and extreme cosmic ray energy spectrum). The book is organized in two sections: - Data analysis methods and tools, - New frontieres in astronomy.
R 1,610.76
Statistics and Analysis of Scientific Data
This book is the third edition of a successful textbook for upper-undergraduate and early graduate students, which offers a solid foundation in probability theory and statistics and their application to physical sciences, engineering, biomedical sciences and related disciplines. It provides broad coverage ranging from conventional textbook content of probability theory, random variables, and their statistics, regression, and parameter estimation, to modern methods including Monte-Carlo Markov chains, resampling methods and low-count statistics.In addition to minor corrections and adjusting structure of the content, particular features in this new edition include:Python codes and machine-readable data for all examples, classic experiments, and exercises, which are now more accessible to students and instructorsNew chapters on low-count statistics including the Poisson-based Cash statistic for regression in the low-count regime, and on contingency tables and diagnostic testing.An additional example of classic experiments based on testing data for SARS-COV-2 to demonstrate practical applications of the described statistical methods. This edition inherits the main pedagogical method of earlier versions—a theory-then-application approach—where emphasis is placed first on a sound understanding of the underlying theory of a topic, which becomes the basis for an efficient and practical application of the materials. Basic calculus is used in some of the derivations, and no previous background in probability and statistics is required. The book includes many numerical tables of data as well as exercises and examples to aid the readers' understanding of the topic.
R 3,663.00
Robust Bayesian Analysis
Robust Bayesian analysis aims at overcoming the traditional objection to Bayesian analysis of its dependence on subjective inputs, mainly the prior and the loss. Its purpose is the determination of the impact of the inputs to a Bayesian analysis (the prior, the loss and the model) on its output when the inputs range in certain classes. If the impact is considerable, there is sensitivity and we should attempt to further refine the information the incumbent classes available, perhaps through additional constraints on and/ or obtaining additional data; if the impact is not important, robustness holds and no further analysis and refinement would be required. Robust Bayesian analysis has been widely accepted by Bayesian statisticians; for a while it was even a main research topic in the field. However, to a great extent, their impact is yet to be seen in applied settings. This volume, therefore, presents an overview of the current state of robust Bayesian methods and their applications and identifies topics of further in terest in the area. The papers in the volume are divided into nine parts covering the main aspects of the field. The first one provides an overview of Bayesian robustness at a non-technical level. The paper in Part II con cerns foundational aspects and describes decision-theoretical axiomatisa tions leading to the robust Bayesian paradigm, motivating reasons for which robust analysis is practically unavoidable within Bayesian analysis.
R 3,060.53
Categorical Data Analysis
Praise for the Second Edition "A must-have book for anyone expecting to do research and/or applications in categorical data analysis." —Statistics in Medicine "It is a total delight reading this book." —Pharmaceutical Research "If you do any analysis of categorical data, this is an essential desktop reference." —Technometrics The use of statistical methods for analyzing categorical data has increased dramatically, particularly in the biomedical, social sciences, and financial industries. Responding to new developments, this book offers a comprehensive treatment of the most important methods for categorical data analysis. Categorical Data Analysis, Third Edition summarizes the latest methods for univariate and correlated multivariate categorical responses. Readers will find a unified generalized linear models approach that connects logistic regression and Poisson and negative binomial loglinear models for discrete data with normal regression for continuous data. This edition also features: An emphasis on logistic and probit regression methods for binary, ordinal, and nominal responses for independent observations and for clustered data with marginal models and random effects modelsTwo new chapters on alternative methods for binary response data, including smoothing and regularization methods, classification methods such as linear discriminant analysis and classification trees, and cluster analysisNew sections introducing the Bayesian approach for methods in that chapterMore than 100 analyses of data sets and over 600 exercisesNotes at the end of each chapter that provide references to recent research and topics not covered in the text, linked to a bibliography of more than 1,200 sourcesA supplementary website showing how to use R and SAS; for all examples in the text, with information also about SPSS and Stata and with exercise solutions Categorical Data Analysis, Third Edition is an invaluable tool for statisticians and methodologists, such as biostatisticians and researchers in the social and behavioral sciences, medicine and public health, marketing, education, finance, biological and agricultural sciences, and industrial quality control.
R 4,854.00
Survival Analysis with Python
Survival analysis uses statistics to calculate time to failure. Survival Analysis with Python takes a fresh look at this complex subject by explaining how to use the Python programming language to perform this type of analysis. As the subject itself is very mathematical and full of expressions and formulations, the book provides detailed explanations and examines practical implications. The book begins with an overview of the concepts underpinning statistical survival analysis. It then delves into Parametric models with coverage of Concept of maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a probability distribution parameter MLE of the survival function Common probability distributions and their analysis Analysis of exponential distribution as a survival function Analysis of Weibull distribution as a survival function Derivation of Gumbel distribution as a survival function from Weibull Non-parametric models including Kaplan–Meier (KM) estimator, a derivation of expression using MLE Fitting KM estimator with an example dataset, Python code and plotting curves Greenwood’s formula and its derivation Models with covariates explaining The concept of time shift and the accelerated failure time (AFT) model Weibull-AFT model and derivation of parameters by MLE Proportional Hazard (PH) model Cox-PH model and Breslow’s method Significance of covariates Selection of covariates The Python lifelines library is used for coding examples. By mapping theory to practical examples featuring datasets, this book is a hands-on tutorial as well as a handy reference.
R 1,179.09
Bayesian Modeling in Bioinformatics
Bayesian Modeling in Bioinformatics discusses the development and application of Bayesian statistical methods for the analysis of high-throughput bioinformatics data arising from problems in molecular and structural biology and disease-related medical research, such as cancer. It presents a broad overview of statistical inference, clustering, and classification problems in two main high-throughput platforms: microarray gene expression and phylogenic analysis.The book explores Bayesian techniques and models for detecting differentially expressed genes, classifying differential gene expression, and identifying biomarkers. It develops novel Bayesian nonparametric approaches for bioinformatics problems, measurement error and survival models for cDNA microarrays, a Bayesian hidden Markov modeling approach for CGH array data, Bayesian approaches for phylogenic analysis, sparsity priors for protein-protein interaction predictions, and Bayesian networks for gene expression data. The text also describes applications of mode-oriented stochastic search algorithms, in vitro to in vivo factor profiling, proportional hazards regression using Bayesian kernel machines, and QTL mapping.Focusing on design, statistical inference, and data analysis from a Bayesian perspective, this volume explores statistical challenges in bioinformatics data analysis and modeling and offers solutions to these problems. It encourages readers to draw on the evolving technologies and promote statistical development in this area of bioinformatics.
R 3,855.47
Reliability Analysis Using MINITAB and Python
Reliability Analysis Using MINITAB and Python Complete overview of the theory and fundamentals of Reliability Analysis applied with Minitab and Python tools Reliability Analysis Using Minitab and Python expertly applies Minitab and Python programs to the field of reliability engineering, presenting basic concepts and explaining step-by-step how to implement statistical distributions and reliability analysis methods using the two programming languages. The textbook enables readers to effectively use software to efficiently process massive amounts of data while also reducing human error. Examples and case studies as well as exercises and questions are included throughout to enable a smooth learning experience. Excel files containing the sample data and Minitab and Python example files are also provided. Students who have basic knowledge of probability and statistics will find this textbook highly approachable. Nonetheless, it also covers material on basic statistics at the beginning, so students who are not familiar with statistics can follow the material as well. Written by a highly qualified author in the field, sample topics covered in Reliability Analysis Using Minitab and Python include: Establishing a basic statistical background, with a focus on probability, joint probability, union probability, conditional probability, mutually exclusive events, and bayes’ rule Statistical distributions, with a focus on discrete cases, continuous cases, exponential distribution, Weibull distribution, normal distribution, and lognormal distribution Reliability data plotting, with a focus on straight line properties, least squares fit, linear rectification, exact failure times, and readout failure data Accelerated life testing, with a focus on accelerated testing theory, exponential distribution acceleration, and Weibull distribution acceleration System failure modeling, with a focus on reliability block diagram, series system model, parallel system model, k-out-of-n system model, and minimal paths and minimal cuts. Repairable systems, with a focus on corrective and preventive maintenances, availability, maintainability, and preventive maintenance scheduling Reliability Analysis Using Minitab and Python serves as an excellent introductory level textbook on the topic for both undergraduate and graduate students. It presents information clearly and concisely and includes many helpful additional learning resources to aid in understanding of concepts, information retention, and practical application.
R 3,824.00
Hands-on Signal Analysis with Python
This book provides the tools for analyzing data in Python: different types of filters are introduced and explained, such as FIR-, IIR- and morphological filters, as well as their application to one- and two-dimensional data. The required mathematics are kept to a minimum, and numerous examples and working Python programs are included for a quick start. The goal of the book is to enable also novice users to choose appropriate methods and to complete real-world tasks such as differentiation, integration, and smoothing of time series, or simple edge detection in images. An introductory section provides help and tips for getting Python installed and configured on your computer. More advanced chapters provide a practical introduction to the Fourier transform and its applications such as sound processing, as well as to the solution of equations of motion with the Laplace transform. A brief excursion into machine learning shows the powerful tools that are available with Python. This book also provides tips for an efficient programming work flow: from the use of a debugger for finding mistakes, code-versioning with git to avoid the loss of working programs, to the construction of graphical user interfaces (GUIs) for the visualization of data. Working, well-documented Python solutions are included for all exercises, and IPython/Jupyter notebooks provide additional help to get people started and outlooks for the interested reader.
R 2,462.02
Regression Analysis
This thoroughly practical and engaging textbook conveys the skills needed to responsibly develop, conduct, scrutinize, and interpret statistical analyses, without requiring any high-level math.Regression Analysis details the most common sources of statistical biases, including some not covered in other textbooks. Rather than focusing on complicated equations, the book describes these biases visually and with examples of situations in which they could arise. As the author argues, just learning how to conduct regressions without learning how to properly assess and interpret regressions can do more harm than good. Other unique features include an innovative approach to describing the elusive concept of "holding other factors constant" and proper interpretations of the strength of evidence in light of the Bayesian critique of hypothesis testing. This third edition enhances the emphasis on ethical and responsible research practices and creates more examples demonstrating how the biases and their corrections could affect the regression results.This is the textbook the author wishes he had learned from, as it would have helped him avoid many research mistakes he made in his career at research organizations and in academia. It is ideal for undergraduate and postgraduate students learning quantitative methods in the social sciences, business, medicine, and data analytics. It will also appeal to researchers and academics looking to better understand regressions.
R 6,960.00
Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks
Since the first edition of this book published, Bayesian networks have become even more important for applications in a vast array of fields. This second edition includes new material on influence diagrams, learning from data, value of information, cybersecurity, debunking bad statistics, and much more. Focusing on practical real-world problem-solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, it explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide more powerful insights and better decision making than is possible from purely data-driven solutions.FeaturesProvides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, forensics, cybersecurity and more Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed Establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using Bayesian network models, before going into the detailed applicationsA dedicated website contains exercises and worked solutions for all chapters along with numerous other resources. The AgenaRisk software contains a model library with executable versions of all of the models in the book. Lecture slides are freely available to accredited academic teachers adopting the book on their course.
R 3,521.02
Python Programming for Data Analysis
This textbook grew out of notes for the ECE143 Programming for Data Analysis class that the author has been teaching at University of California, San Diego, which is a requirement for both graduate and undergraduate degrees in Machine Learning and Data Science. This book is ideal for readers with some Python programming experience. The book covers key language concepts that must be understood to program effectively, especially for data analysis applications. Certain low-level language features are discussed in detail, especially Python memory management and data structures. Using Python effectively means taking advantage of its vast ecosystem. The book discusses Python package management and how to use third-party modules as well as how to structure your own Python modules. The section on object-oriented programming explains features of the language that facilitate common programming patterns.After developing the key Python language features, the book moves on to third-party modules that are foundational for effective data analysis, starting with Numpy. The book develops key Numpy concepts and discusses internal Numpy array data structures and memory usage. Then, the author moves onto Pandas and details its many features for data processing and alignment. Because strong visualizations are important for communicating data analysis, key modules such as Matplotlib are developed in detail, along with web-based options such as Bokeh, Holoviews, Altair, and Plotly.The text is sprinkled with many tricks-of-the-trade that help avoid common pitfalls. The author explains the internal logic embodied in the Python language so that readers can get into the Python mindset and make better design choices in their codes, which is especially helpful for newcomers to both Python and data analysis. To get the most out of this book, open a Python interpreter and type along with the many code samples.
R 2,585.49
Bayesian Methods for Structural Dynamics and Civil Engineering
Bayesian methods are a powerful tool in many areas of science and engineering, especially statistical physics, medical sciences, electrical engineering, and information sciences. They are also ideal for civil engineering applications, given the numerous types of modeling and parametric uncertainty in civil engineering problems. For example, earthquake ground motion cannot be predetermined at the structural design stage. Complete wind pressure profiles are difficult to measure under operating conditions. Material properties can be difficult to determine to a very precise level – especially concrete, rock, and soil. For air quality prediction, it is difficult to measure the hourly/daily pollutants generated by cars and factories within the area of concern. It is also difficult to obtain the updated air quality information of the surrounding cities. Furthermore, the meteorological conditions of the day for prediction are also uncertain. These are just some of the civil engineering examples to which Bayesian probabilistic methods are applicable. Familiarizes readers with the latest developments in the fieldIncludes identification problems for both dynamic and static systemsAddresses challenging civil engineering problems such as modal/model updatingPresents methods applicable to mechanical and aerospace engineeringGives engineers and engineering students a concrete sense of implementationCovers real-world case studies in civil engineering and beyond, such as:structural health monitoringseismic attenuationfinite-element model updatinghydraulic jumpartificial neural network for damage detectionair quality prediction Includes other insightful daily-life examplesCompanion website with MATLAB code downloads for independent practiceWritten by a leading expert in the use of Bayesian methods for civil engineering problems This book is ideal for researchers and graduate students in civil and mechanical engineering or applied probability and statistics. Practicing engineers interested in the application of statistical methods to solve engineering problems will also find this to be a valuable text. MATLAB code and lecture materials for instructors available at www.wiley.com/go/yuen
R 5,860.00
Markov Random Field Modeling in Image Analysis
Markov random field (MRF) theory provides a basis for modeling contextual constraints in visual processing and interpretation. It enables us to develop optimal vision algorithms systematically when used with optimization principles. This book presents a comprehensive study on the use of MRFs for solving computer vision problems. Various vision models are presented in a unified framework, including image restoration and reconstruction, edge and region segmentation, texture, stereo and motion, object matching and recognition, and pose estimation. This third edition includes the most recent advances and has new and expanded sections on topics such as: Bayesian Network; Discriminative Random Fields; Strong Random Fields; Spatial-Temporal Models; Learning MRF for Classification. This book is an excellent reference for researchers working in computer vision, image processing, statistical pattern recognition and applications of MRFs. It is also suitable as a text for advanced courses in these areas.
R 6,014.95
Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Bayesian Decision Theory
The book shows how risk, defined as the statistical expectation of loss, can be formally decomposed as the product of two terms: hazard probability and system vulnerability. This requires a specific definition of vulnerability that replaces the many fuzzy definitions abounding in the literature. The approach is expanded to more complex risk analysis with three components rather than two, and with various definitions of hazard. Equations are derived to quantify the uncertainty of each risk component and show how the approach relates to Bayesian decision theory. Intended for statisticians, environmental scientists and risk analysts interested in the theory and application of risk analysis, this book provides precise definitions, new theory, and many examples with full computer code. The approach is based on straightforward use of probability theory which brings rigour and clarity. Only a moderate knowledge and understanding of probability theory is expected from the reader.
R 2,198.00
Bayesian Analysis of Infectious Diseases
Bayesian Analysis of Infectious Diseases -COVID-19 and Beyond shows how the Bayesian approach can be used to analyze the evolutionary behavior of infectious diseases, including the coronavirus pandemic. The book describes the foundation of Bayesian statistics while explicating the biology and evolutionary behavior of infectious diseases, including viral and bacterial manifestations of the contagion. The book discusses the application of Markov Chains to contagious diseases, previews data analysis models, the epidemic threshold theorem, and basic properties of the infection process. Also described are the chain binomial model for the evolution of epidemics.Features:Represents the first book on infectious disease from a Bayesian perspective.Employs WinBUGS and R to generate observations that follow the course of contagious maladies.Includes discussion of the coronavirus pandemic as well as many examples from the past, including the flu epidemic of 1918-1919.Compares standard non-Bayesian and Bayesian inferences.Offers the R and WinBUGS code on at www.routledge.com/9780367633868
R 9,326.59
Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science
Bayesian Networks “This book should have a place on the bookshelf of every forensic scientist who cares about the science of evidence interpretation.”Dr. Ian Evett, Principal Forensic Services Ltd, London, UK Bayesian Networksfor Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science Second Edition Continuing developments in science and technology mean that the amounts of information forensic scientists are able to provide for criminal investigations is ever increasing. The commensurate increase in complexity creates diffculties for scientists and lawyers with regard to evaluation and interpretation, notably with respect to issues of inference and decision. Probability theory, implemented through graphical methods, and specifically Bayesian networks, provides powerful methods to deal with this complexity. Extensions of these methods to elements of decision theory provide further support and assistance to the judicial system. Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science provides a unique and comprehensive introduction to the use of Bayesian decision networks for the evaluation and interpretation of scientific findings in forensic science, and for the support of decision-makers in their scientific and legal tasks. Includes self-contained introductions to probability and decision theory.Develops the characteristics of Bayesian networks, object-oriented Bayesian networks and their extension to decision models.Features implementation of the methodology with reference to commercial and academically available software.Presents standard networks and their extensions that can be easily implemented and that can assist in the reader’s own analysis of real cases.Provides a technique for structuring problems and organizing data based on methods and principles of scientific reasoning.Contains a method for the construction of coherent and defensible arguments for the analysis and evaluation of scientific findings and for decisions based on them.Is written in a lucid style, suitable for forensic scientists and lawyers with minimal mathematical background.Includes a foreword by Ian Evett. The clear and accessible style of this second edition makes this book ideal for all forensic scientists, applied statisticians and graduate students wishing to evaluate forensic findings from the perspective of probability and decision analysis. It will also appeal to lawyers and other scientists and professionals interested in the evaluation and interpretation of forensic findings, including decision making based on scientific information.
R 3,711.00
Survival Analysis with Python
Survival analysis uses statistics to calculate time to failure. Survival Analysis with Python takes a fresh look at this complex subject by explaining how to use the Python programming language to perform this type of analysis. As the subject itself is very mathematical and full of expressions and formulations, the book provides detailed explanations and examines practical implications. The book begins with an overview of the concepts underpinning statistical survival analysis. It then delves into Parametric models with coverage of Concept of maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a probability distribution parameter MLE of the survival function Common probability distributions and their analysis Analysis of exponential distribution as a survival function Analysis of Weibull distribution as a survival function Derivation of Gumbel distribution as a survival function from Weibull Non-parametric models including Kaplan–Meier (KM) estimator, a derivation of expression using MLE Fitting KM estimator with an example dataset, Python code and plotting curves Greenwood’s formula and its derivation Models with covariates explaining The concept of time shift and the accelerated failure time (AFT) model Weibull-AFT model and derivation of parameters by MLE Proportional Hazard (PH) model Cox-PH model and Breslow’s method Significance of covariates Selection of covariates The Python lifelines library is used for coding examples. By mapping theory to practical examples featuring datasets, this book is a hands-on tutorial as well as a handy reference.
R 3,596.48
R 519.00
Bayesian and grAphical Models for Biomedical Imaging
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the First International Workshop on Bayesian and grAphical Models for Biomedical Imaging, BAMBI 2014, held in Cambridge, MA, USA, in September 2014 as a satellite event of the 17th International Conference on Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention, MICCAI 2014.The 11 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions with a key aspect on probabilistic modeling applied to medical image analysis. The objectives of this workshop compared to other workshops, e.g. machine learning in medical imaging, have a stronger mathematical focus on the foundations of probabilistic modeling and inference. The papers highlight the potential of using Bayesian or random field graphical models for advancing scientific research in biomedical image analysis or for the advancement of modeling and analysis of medical imaging data.
R 1,261.70
Markov Random Field Modeling in Image Analysis
Markov random field (MRF) theory provides a basis for modeling contextual constraints in visual processing and interpretation. It enables us to develop optimal vision algorithms systematically when used with optimization principles. This book presents a comprehensive study on the use of MRFs for solving computer vision problems. Various vision models are presented in a unified framework, including image restoration and reconstruction, edge and region segmentation, texture, stereo and motion, object matching and recognition, and pose estimation. This third edition includes the most recent advances and has new and expanded sections on topics such as: Bayesian Network; Discriminative Random Fields; Strong Random Fields; Spatial-Temporal Models; Learning MRF for Classification. This book is an excellent reference for researchers working in computer vision, image processing, statistical pattern recognition and applications of MRFs. It is also suitable as a text for advanced courses in these areas.
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Hands-On Simulation Modeling with Python
Learn to construct state-of-the-art simulation models with Python and enhance your simulation modelling skills, as well as create and analyze digital prototypes of physical models with easeKey FeaturesUnderstand various statistical and physical simulations to improve systems using PythonLearn to create the numerical prototype of a real model using hands-on examplesEvaluate performance and output results based on how the prototype would work in the real worldBook DescriptionSimulation modelling is an exploration method that aims to imitate physical systems in a virtual environment and retrieve useful statistical inferences from it. The ability to analyze the model as it runs sets simulation modelling apart from other methods used in conventional analyses. This book is your comprehensive and hands-on guide to understanding various computational statistical simulations using Python. The book begins by helping you get familiarized with the fundamental concepts of simulation modelling, that’ll enable you to understand the various methods and techniques needed to explore complex topics. Data scientists working with simulation models will be able to put their knowledge to work with this practical guide. As you advance, you’ll dive deep into numerical simulation algorithms, including an overview of relevant applications, with the help of real-world use cases and practical examples. You'll also find out how to use Python to develop simulation models and how to use several Python packages. Finally, you’ll get to grips with various numerical simulation algorithms and concepts, such as Markov Decision Processes, Monte Carlo methods, and bootstrapping techniques.By the end of this book, you'll have learned how to construct and deploy simulation models of your own to overcome real-world challenges.What you will learnGet to grips with the concept of randomness and the data generation processDelve into resampling methodsDiscover how to work with Monte Carlo simulationsUtilize simulations to improve or optimize systemsFind out how to run efficient simulations to analyze real-world systemsUnderstand how to simulate random walks using Markov chainsWho this book is forThis book is for data scientists, simulation engineers, and anyone who is already familiar with the basic computational methods and wants to implement various simulation techniques such as Monte-Carlo methods and statistical simulation using Python.
R 1,693.00
Numerical Methods in Physics with Python
Bringing together idiomatic Python programming, foundational numerical methods, and physics applications, this is an ideal standalone textbook for courses on computational physics. All the frequently used numerical methods in physics are explained, including foundational techniques and hidden gems on topics such as linear algebra, differential equations, root-finding, interpolation, and integration. The second edition of this introductory book features several new codes and 140 new problems (many on physics applications), as well as new sections on the singular-value decomposition, derivative-free optimization, Bayesian linear regression, neural networks, and partial differential equations. The last section in each chapter is an in-depth project, tackling physics problems that cannot be solved without the use of a computer. Written primarily for students studying computational physics, this textbook brings the non-specialist quickly up to speed with Python before looking in detail at the numerical methods often used in the subject.
R 2,353.00
Probabilistic Methods of Signal and System Analysis
Since its original publication in 1971, this text has been a standard for signals and systems courses that emphasize probability. It provides an introduction to probability theory, statistics, random processes, and the analysis of systems with random inputs. The third edition will utilize MATLAB as a computational tool. It will be thoroughly revised to include new examples and problems, and updated to reflect the most current research and technologies. This book isintended for the junior/senior level engineering students.
R 9,667.90
Bayesian Claims Reserving Methods in Non-life Insurance with Stan
This book first provides a review of various aspects of Bayesian statistics. It then investigates three types of claims reserving models in the Bayesian framework: chain ladder models, basis expansion models involving a tail factor, and multivariate copula models. For the Bayesian inferential methods, this book largely relies on Stan, a specialized software environment which applies Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method and variational Bayes.
R 3,220.94
Applied Linear Regression for Business Analytics with Python
This textbook provides a practical, business-focused introduction to regression analysis using Python. It equips readers with the intuition, coding skills, and statistical tools needed to transform raw data into actionable insights. In today’s data-driven economy, where organizations rely on analytics for pricing, marketing, employee retention, and financial forecasting, regression remains a cornerstone method.The text bridges theory and application by combining clear explanations, step-by-step coding, and real-world business case studies. A distinguishing feature is the introduction of the Ravix package, a regression modeling and visualization framework developed to streamline regression workflows in Python. Ravix simplifies model building, produces clear and interpretable output, and integrates seamlessly with core scientific Python libraries such as NumPy, Pandas, Statsmodels, and Scikit-learn. By reducing coding complexity and emphasizing interpretation, Ravix makes modern regression techniques accessible to students, analysts, and professionals.
R 4,030.00
Python Programming for Data Analysis
This textbook grew out of notes for the ECE143 Programming for Data Analysis class that the author has been teaching at University of California, San Diego, which is a requirement for both graduate and undergraduate degrees in Machine Learning and Data Science. This book is ideal for readers with some Python programming experience. The book covers key language concepts that must be understood to program effectively, especially for data analysis applications. Certain low-level language features are discussed in detail, especially Python memory management and data structures. Using Python effectively means taking advantage of its vast ecosystem. The book discusses Python package management and how to use third-party modules as well as how to structure your own Python modules. The section on object-oriented programming explains features of the language that facilitate common programming patterns.After developing the key Python language features, the book moves on to third-party modules that are foundational for effective data analysis, starting with Numpy. The book develops key Numpy concepts and discusses internal Numpy array data structures and memory usage. Then, the author moves onto Pandas and details its many features for data processing and alignment. Because strong visualizations are important for communicating data analysis, key modules such as Matplotlib are developed in detail, along with web-based options such as Bokeh, Holoviews, Altair, and Plotly.The text is sprinkled with many tricks-of-the-trade that help avoid common pitfalls. The author explains the internal logic embodied in the Python language so that readers can get into the Python mindset and make better design choices in their codes, which is especially helpful for newcomers to both Python and data analysis. To get the most out of this book, open a Python interpreter and type along with the many code samples.
R 3,079.26
Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction
Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction, Third Edition is a textbook which addresses the important issue of predicting the safety of structures at the design stage and also the safety of existing, perhaps deteriorating structures. Attention is focused on the development and definition of limit states such as serviceability and ultimate strength, the definition of failure and the various models which might be used to describe strength and loading. This book emphasises concepts and applications, built up from basic principles and avoids undue mathematical rigour. It presents an accessible and unified account of the theory and techniques for the analysis of the reliability of engineering structures using probability theory. This new edition has been updated to cover new developments and applications and a new chapter is included which covers structural optimization in the context of reliability analysis. New examples and end of chapter problems are also now included.
R 3,646.00
Student's Guide to Data and Error Analysis
All students taking laboratory courses within the physical sciences and engineering will benefit from this book, whilst researchers will find it an invaluable reference. This concise, practical guide brings the reader up-to-speed on the proper handling and presentation of scientific data and its inaccuracies. It covers all the vital topics with practical guidelines, computer programs (in Python), and recipes for handling experimental errors and reporting experimental data. In addition to the essentials, it also provides further background material for advanced readers who want to understand how the methods work. Plenty of examples, exercises and solutions are provided to aid and test understanding, whilst useful data, tables and formulas are compiled in a handy section for easy reference.
R 3,751.13
R Companion for the Third Edition of The Fundamentals of Political Science Research
An R Companion for the Third Edition of The Fundamentals of Political Science Research offers students a chance to delve into the world of R using real political data sets and statistical analysis techniques directly from Paul M. Kellstedt and Guy D. Whitten's best-selling textbook. Built in parallel with the main text, this workbook teaches students to apply the techniques they learn in each chapter by reproducing the analyses and results from each lesson using R. Students will also learn to create all of the tables and figures found in the textbook, leading to an even greater mastery of the core material. This accessible, informative, and engaging companion walks through the use of R step-by-step, using command lines and screenshots to demonstrate proper use of the software. With the help of these guides, students will become comfortable creating, editing, and using data sets in R to produce original statistical analyses for evaluating causal claims. End-of-chapter exercises encourage this innovation by asking students to formulate and evaluate their own hypotheses.
R 992.24
Probability and Risk Analysis
This text presents notions and ideas at the foundations of a statistical treatment of risks. The focus is on statistical applications within the field of engineering risk and safety analysis. Coverage includes Bayesian methods. Such knowledge facilitates the understanding of the influence of random phenomena and gives a deeper understanding of the role of probability in risk analysis. The text is written for students who have studied elementary undergraduate courses in engineering mathematics, perhaps including a minor course in statistics. This book differs from typical textbooks in its verbal approach to many explanations and examples.
R 2,767.04
Python Crash Course, 3rd Edition
Since its initial debut in 2015, this critically acclaimed quick-start guide to programming has taught millions of people all over the world to write clean code, solve problems, and build custom applications in the popular language of Python. The highly anticipated third edition of Python Crash Course has been completely revised with updated code, practices, and projects-making it the ultimate launchpad for beginners to start their engines and code in Python 3!
R 1,484.00
Time Series Analysis and Its Applications
This 5th edition of this popular graduate textbook, presents a balanced and comprehensive treatment of both time and frequency domain methods with accompanying theory. It includes numerous examples using nontrivial data illustrate solutions to problems such as discovering natural and anthropogenic climate change, evaluating pain perception experiments using functional magnetic resonance imaging, and monitoring a nuclear test ban treaty. The R package ‘astsa’ has had major updates and the text will reflect those updates. In general, the graphics have been improved. New topics include random number generation, modeling and fitting predator-prey interactions, more emphasis on structural models, testing for linearity, discussion of EM algorithm is more extensive, Bayesian analysis of state space models and MCMC is more extensive (including new scripts in astsa), particle methods are introduced, stochastic volatility coverage is expanded, changepoint detection is introduced (new topic).The book is designed as a textbook for graduate level students in the physical, biological, and social sciences and as a graduate level text in statistics. Some parts may also serve as an undergraduate introductory course. Theory and methodology are separated to allow presentations on different levels. In addition to coverage of classical methods of time series regression, ARIMA models, spectral analysis and state-space models, the text includes modern developments including categorical time series analysis, multivariate spectral methods, long memory series, nonlinear models, resampling techniques, GARCH models, ARMAX models, stochastic volatility, wavelets, and Markov chain Monte Carlo integration methods.This edition includes R code for each numerical example in addition to Appendix R, which provides a reference for the data sets and R scripts used in the text in addition to a tutorial on basic R commands and R time series. An additional file is available on the book’s website for download, making all the data sets and scripts easy to load into R.
R 5,861.00
Survival Analysis: State of the Art
Survival analysis is a highly active area of research with applications spanning the physical, engineering, biological, and social sciences. In addition to statisticians and biostatisticians, researchers in this area include epidemiologists, reliability engineers, demographers and economists. The economists survival analysis by the name of duration analysis and the analysis of transition data. We attempted to bring together leading researchers, with a common interest in developing methodology in survival analysis, at the NATO Advanced Research Workshop. The research works collected in this volume are based on the presentations at the Workshop. Analysis of survival experiments is complicated by issues of censoring, where only partial observation of an individual's life length is available and left truncation, where individuals enter the study group if their life lengths exceed a given threshold time. Application of the theory of counting processes to survival analysis, as developed by the Scandinavian School, has allowed for substantial advances in the procedures for analyzing such experiments. The increased use of computer intensive solutions to inference problems in survival analysis~ in both the classical and Bayesian settings, is also evident throughout the volume. Several areas of research have received special attention in the volume.
R 3,064.35
Reliability and Risk Analysis
Completely updated for a new edition, this book introduces reliability and risks analysis, for both practicing engineers and engineering students at the undergraduate and graduate levels. Since reliability analysis is a multidisciplinary subject, this book draws together a wide range of topics and presents them in a way that applies to most engineering disciplines.What Every Engineer Should Know About Reliability and Risk Analysis, Second Edition, emphasizes an introduction and explanation of the practical methods used in reliability and risk studies, with a discussion of their uses and limitations. It offers basic and advanced methods in reliability analysis that are commonly used in daily practice and provides methods that address unique topics such as dependent failure analysis, importance analysis, and analysis of repairable systems. The book goes on to present a comprehensive overview of modern probabilistic life assessment methods such as Bayesian estimation, system reliability analysis, and human reliability. End-of-chapter problems and a solutions manual are available to support any course adoptions.This book is refined, simple, and focuses on fundamentals. The audience is the beginner with no background in reliability engineering and rudimentary knowledge of probability and statistics. It can be used by new practitioners, undergraduates, and first-year graduate students.
R 9,348.62
